January Oscar Prediction Update: 'Wolf' is on the Hunt for Oscar Votes

The Wolf of Wall Street

Welcome to the year 2014 folks! We're now literally under a week away from the Academy Award nominations now, so much is about to be revealed. In fact, ballots are already in, so the only thing left really is to find out who's made the cut and who hasn't. Before you know it, we'll be shifting the focus from the nomination fight to the battle for some actual Oscar wins. My predictions last month represented a change in the race, and to at least some degree, these new ones now do as well. Like last month, I've also included the next-in-line films and performers, since that seemed to go over pretty well. Basically, this is more of the same, but hopefully in a good way. I love making predictions, so this is certainly a pleasure for me. Read on!

Academy Advocacy: Don't Forget About Spike Jonze's Spectacular 'Her'

Spike Jonze's Her

We're going to try something a little bit new here at FirstShowing. Namely, I'm going to be getting into a little bit of advocacy. I've spent almost six months now talking about what might get nominated or what could appeal to Oscar voters. Now I'm going to start talking about what should get their attention. Alex Billington has long encouraged me to go this route and now the time has come. I'll be making the case (much like you guys do in the comments section) for certain films and/or performances, starting off with the Spike Jonze directed masterpiece that is Her. Among everything that was released in 2013, there is nothing that I'm as passionate about as this movie, so I'm actually pretty excited to support it. More below!

Looking Back: Joey Picks His 20 Favorite Scenes from the Films of 2013

Best Scenes of 2013

With only a matter of days remaining in 2013, I find myself having seen all of the year's releases that I felt compelled to see. That realization led me to start considering which films this year had particular scenes that really struck me. Just about every single film of note this year had some sort of memorable scene that will stick with me for years, though I'm sure not everyone will find the same scene as powerful as I did. In fact, while many of the scenes cited are from my favorite films of the year, believe it or not, nine of my top ten flicks have a scene listed below, so it wasn't ten for ten. But sometimes all it takes is just a single scene.

Looking Back: Joey Picks 10 Best Performances by an Actress in 2013

Best Performances by an Actress in 2013

This morning, we debuted my picks for the 10 Best Performances by an Actor in 2013. Now we're continuing the second part of my look at the best performances of 2013, by looking at the big screen turns from actresses. From foreign newcomers like Adèle Exarchopoulos in Blue is the Warmest Color to veteran hands like June Squibb in Nebraska, wherever you looked, there was someone giving a performance for the ages. It was a pleasure to watch Exarchopoulos, Squibb, and many other actresses deliver performances we won't soon forget. This year was truly one filled with performances of great note.

Looking Back: Joey Picks 10 Best Performances by an Actor in 2013

Best Performances by an Actor in 2013

The year is almost over folks, and with that brings the deluge of lists that we all look forward to reading and agreeing/disagreeing with from fellow cinephiles. For my part, I'm delivering a two-part look at the Best Performances of 2013, split up between performances from actors and actresses. This was a year full of performances to rave about, so I'm thrilled to be able to give my personal favorites a moment in the sun, starting with just the actors here in this first part. From relative newcomers like Will Forte to old veterans like Bruce Dern (both in the same movie), wherever you looked, there was someone giving a performance for the ages, and it was a pleasure to watch all of them on the big screen throughout this year.

Foreign Film Oscar Shortlist: Where Are the Best Foreign Films of 2013?

The Grandmaster

Whenever the Academy releases a shortlist of titles in contention for one of their technical Oscar categories, mouths are always left agape to some small degree over what hasn't made the cut. Whether it's any number of special effects laden blockbusters not making to the next stage in Best Visual Effects or something like that, there's always some kind of surprise. That being said, the Best Foreign Language Feature shortlist has just been revealed, and voters certainly opted to exclude a lot of worthy titles, and we're not just talking the ineligible Blue is the Warmest Color from Abdellatif Kechiche. There's always a complaint or two about the films competing in this category, but rarely has there been borderline outrage like I've seen today.

How Do the Screen Actors Guild Nominations Impact the Oscar Race?

Screen Actors Guild Awards

The first of the all important guilds have now chimed in on the precursor season, and boy did they have their own agenda. The Screen Actors Guild released their nominations, which have a lot more bearing on the Oscar race than any critics group. Still, as I cautioned in my precursor piece here, any one announcement can only mean so much. That being said, this was our first big one, and SAG usually doesn't completely match up with the Oscar nominees, but they do have a member overlap, so it's a place to start when looking at who's gotten a boost or who's stepped back. From my view, no one had their nomination guaranteed (though one is closer than ever) but no one had their chances canceled, so the race is still evolving. Read on!

Can Scott Cooper Climb 'Out of the Furnace' and into the Oscar Race?

Out of the Furnace

Over the past year months, one of the harder to pin down titles for me happened to be Scott Cooper's Out of the Furnace. Up until recently, there was a pretty big split in terms of how my fellow prognosticators saw it in the Oscar race. There were Best Picture mentions here and there, all the way to folks like me who had it getting shut out. After almost arriving late last year for Oscar contention (which probably wouldn't have worked), the film hit theaters this past weekend, hoping to gain some traction in the race. The flick is an interesting case study too, since it was once an unseen contender thought to be a dark horse for awhile.

December Oscar Prediction Update: Will Oscar Voters Do the 'Hustle'?

American Hustle

Somehow, it's December already folks! All of the contenders have been seen (yes, American Hustle and The Wolf of Wall Street are known commodities, if you can believe it), which is pretty crazy on its own. The precursor season has begun, films are being honored/ignored, and the very beginnings of some real evidence can be used in trying to figure out the Oscar race. We're knee deep in it now ladies and gents, and I'm personally updating my predictions every single day like a crazy person/serious awards prognosticator. As such, you'll notice some big changes in my predictions from last time, but that's expected. More below!

Will 'Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom' Stroll Right Past Oscar's Eyes?

Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom

Of the many balls that Harvey Weinstein is juggling for Oscar attention this year, none seem to be forgotten about quite as much as Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom. While it opened this past weekend in limited release, it just hasn't gotten nearly as much attention as any of his other major contenders like August: Osage County, Fruitvale Station, Lee Daniels' The Butler, and Philomena. In some respects, it's a puzzling decision. After all, it's a biopic of the recently passed away Nelson Mandela (based on his autobiography), starring an exciting actor in Idris Elba, written by a well respected scribe in William Nicholson, and it's coming out in a year that's shaping up to be as diverse as any for the Oscars.

'Saving Mr. Banks' & Tom Hanks: This Year's Feel Good Oscar Spoiler?

Saving Mr. Banks

A year or so ago, the very idea of Saving Mr. Banks was one that inspired some jokes and no small amount of ridicule. "It's Disney saluting Disney" was a popular phrase, and I even once suggested it was potentially going to be the equivalent of watching Mickey Mouse masturbate. Well, now having seen John Lee Hancock's film, I can say that it doesn't deserve any ridicule, since it's a solidly good movie. That being said, it's got both the feel good quality and the tear jerker quality going in its favor, so I have no doubt that this is going to be a big favorite for the Academy. The question is, can it sneak up and win Best Picture? It's not the frontrunner, but it could very well prove to be a big spoiler when the awards are handed out.

'Oldboy' Remake Not Up Oscar's Alley, Will Another Remake Ever Be?


Ever since Martin Scorsese's The Departed became the first remake to take home Best Picture in this modern era of remakes littering the cinematic landscape (and actually is the only remake to win that Oscar), folks have discussed if we could see others follow in its footsteps with some degree of regularity. We even saw Joel and Ethan Coen's True Grit remake get nominated once the field expanded from five nominees to ten, so it wasn't like this was a one and done sort of thing. In 2012 we saw a new take on the musical Les Miserables from Tom Hooper, which could be considered a remake (and will in this piece). This year…




Alex's Top 10 - 2020
1. Nine Days
2. Berlin Alexanderplatz
3. Pixar's Soul
4. Pieces of a Woman
5. Feels Good Man
6. Another Round
7. The Truffle Hunters
8. Sound of Metal
9. Lovers Rock
10. Nomadland
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Adam's Top 10 - 2020
1. Spontaneous
2. Promising Y. Woman
3. Nomadland
4. The Vast of Night
5. Blow the Man Down
6. The Invisible Man
7. Minari
8. Possessor
9. Feels Good Man
10. Color Out of Space
Click Here for Thoughts


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